Tuesday, February 9, 2021 3:30pm to 5pm
About this Event
UCR Emeriti and Retiree's Association and UCR OSHER Present: The Edward A. Dickson Emeritus/a Professorship Lecture Series 2020-2021:The Accuracy of Hamilton-Perry Population Projections for Census Tracts in the United States
In a first-ever, nationwide census tract evaluation, Swanson assesses the accuracy of the Hamilton-Perry population projection method for 65,221 census tracts. The test uses 1990 and 2000 census tract data by age and gender to construct cohort change ratios, which are then applied to 2000 census tract data to generate 2010 Hamilton-Perry projections that are evaluated in an ex post facto test against the reported 2010 census tract data by age and gender. As this project explains, simple linear extrapolation provides more accurate projections of the total population than does the Hamilton-Perry Method.
Featured Speaker
David A. Swanson
Edward A. Dickson Emeritus Professor, Department of Sociology, UCR
Date/Time
Tuesday, February 9
3:30 - 5:00 p.m.
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