The water demand forecasting tool forecasts water demand up to 2050 for Moulton Niguel Water District (MNWD), accounting for both demand increases and reductions attributed to water budget reductions, conservation efforts, water loss, expected changes in weather patterns and demand increases from new development. The model projects various factors that can influence water demand in the long run and estimates demand based on the changing elements. This demand forecasting effort aims to primarily inform the district’s long-range water reliability plan, which ensures an uninterrupted water supply to the district’s customers under usual or unusual scenarios for future years. This tool’s data and predictions are also utilized for reporting documents to the State, including the Urban Water Management Plan. This tool is flexible and has gone through several iterations to adapt to changing conditions and the State’s policies. The district’s planning department utilizes the tool heavily to analyze different scenarios by inputting a different range of factors that can potentially influence the district customers’ water demand in the short and long run.

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